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Tuesday, September 22, 2026 · updated 7:10 AM ET (early, on request) · MES1! (December)

BIASLEAN BULL
60%

MES MICRO FUTURES MES1! (December) - free feed, delayed ~10 min

Read of the day

Monday was the monster: an 89-point RTH trend day (7,758.25 to 7,847.25) built on oil down ~3.4% (Saudi tankers loaded through the Hormuz worry), the 10Y backing off its 19-year high to 4.96%, an AI/chip surge (Meta +8.6%, AMD +9.1%, Intel +14%), and US-China trade optimism - all pressing a market loaded with shorts (AAII bears 53.3%, COT net short -100,461). Goolsbee was hawkish pre-open and the market ignored him. Overnight the market kept the gains: ON range 7,810.50-7,843.75, price ~7,842.50 at 7:05 AM, +9 vs the 7,833.50 settle, pressing the ON high. Posture: lean bull but stretched after a trend day - momentum is with the bid, but entries only on the playbook's sweeps; no chasing at the highs. Buy-side pools: 7,843.75 (ON high), 7,847.25 (Monday high = ATH zone), then the 7,850 round. Sell-side shelves: 7,833.50 (settle), 7,810.50 (ON low), 7,770.75 (Monday's ON high = key shelf), 7,721.25, 7,699.00, 7,675.00 (PDL), 7,643.50. Catalysts today: Trump UN speech this morning, Fed speakers all day (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin), Xi lands in the US tomorrow - headline risk both ways. Baseline unchanged: no breakers, sweeps/reactions + OB/FVG/IFVG only.

Liquidity map

MES1! ~7,842.50 at 7:05 AM, +9 vs Monday's 7,833.50 settle, after Monday's 89-pt trend day. Overnight range 7,810.50-7,843.75 - held nearly all of Monday's run; pressing the ON high premarket. All levels MES1! (December).

Live chart - zoom & hover

Interactive MES proxy (US500 CFD - MES1! scale differs) chart (TradingView). CME futures symbols are not embeddable, so this proxy tracks the moves; its price scale sits below MES1! by the December basis. All levels on this page and the liquidity map above are exact MES1! terms.

Tape setup

MES (Dec) ~7,842.50 pressing the highs: Monday session high 7,847.25, RTH low 7,758.25, settle 7,833.50; full-day low 7,742.50. Overnight: high 7,843.75, low 7,810.50.
The fuel: Brent -3.4% to ~$100.30 (Saudi tankers eased the Hormuz worry), 10Y 4.96% off the 5.01% 19-year high, AI/chips ripping (AMD crossed $1T), US-China tariff talks ($30B each) ahead of Xi's visit. Squeeze backdrop intact: AAII bears 53.3%, COT net short -100,461.
Buy-side pool: 7,843.75 (ON high) → 7,847.25 (Monday high = ATH zone) → 7,850. Sell-side shelves: 7,833.50 (settle) → 7,810.50 (ON low) → 7,770.75 (key shelf) → 7,721.25 → 7,699.00 → 7,675.00 (PDL) → 7,643.50.

Catalysts

Williams, Jefferson, Barkin speak today - three Fed voices after Goolsbee's hawkish tone got ignored Monday; any pushback on easing expectations moves the 10Y (4.96%) and index futures with it.
Xi visits the US tomorrow (Sep 23-25) - tariff cuts on $30B of goods apiece under discussion after Bessent's "very successful" weekend session; headlines can hit any time.
Oil / Hormuz watch - Monday's rally ran on Saudi tanker loadings (Brent -3.4% to ~$100.30); a reversal in crude re-inflates the yield worry.
Flash PMIs Wednesday + Barr - first hard data of the week; a growth-scare print at these highs hits fast.
PCE inflation Friday - the print that matters for the October dot.
Week map: today Williams/Jefferson/Barkin · Wed Xi arrives + Barr + flash PMIs · Fri PCE. Monday's tape: failed-fade at 7,770.75 confirmed the bid - acceptance above a swept high, first pullback reclaimed, HHs, unfilled FVGs.

The play - conditional sweep setups, both sides (you place it, you own it)

Condition9:45 AM-12 PM ET only. LONG: sweep of 7,810.50 (ON low) then a 5m/15m close back above + FVG. SHORT (fade only): sweep of 7,843.75-7,847.25 (ON high / Monday high) then a close back under + FVG.

EntryLong: OB/FVG retest 7,813-7,817 · Short: retest 7,838-7,842 after the failed ON-high sweep

StopLong: below the sweep low · Short: above the sweep high

TargetsLong: 7,833.50 then 7,843.75 (~2:1+) · Short: 7,833.50 then 7,810.50 (~2:1)

Size / riskMES 1 · <= $50 long / <= $25 short risk (<= 6.9% / 3.5% of ~$723 room, verified Mon 4:30 PM) · min 2:1

Win/loss est.~55% long (trend-day continuation while 7,810.50 holds) / ~40% short (counter-trend fade at fresh highs against a short-squeeze backdrop) at >=2:1

Do not place the order if: no full sweep + close-back + FVG · outside 9:45-12 · chasing at the ON high with no pullback sweep · churn between 7,810-7,844 · fresh Fed-speaker or Xi-visit headline · two losses or -$100 today.

Logging as:

Tap after the decision - it writes to that person's journal.

Guardrails

~$723 above the drawdown floor (equity $49,104.50 verified Monday 4:30 PM; no trades Monday, room unchanged) · max $50/trade · 1-2 trades/day · stop after two losses · advisory only, no orders are ever placed for you.

Journal - Kilo

Auto-journaled from the account after each session (read-only) plus Kilo's own taps. Click an entry to expand.

Journal - Anthony

Anthony's own took-it/skipped-it taps only. Nothing is pulled from any account of his.

What's new

Audit - Tuesday page published early at 7:10 AM after Kilo's 7:04 AM request for updates; folded into the usual morning build. Snapshot: 7:05 AM feed, price ~7,842.50. Tue 7:10 AM ET
Audit - Triple-check correction: 7,750.25 was mislabeled "week high" - it is last Friday's (Sep 11) high; this week's high is 7,739.00 (= ON high). Level itself unchanged. Fri 8:20 PM ET
Kilo - "Start using MES1!": every level, the price strip, the chart, and alerts switched from the September contract to MES1! (December). Live Sep-Dec spread verified at 67.00 before translating. Tue 10:40 AM ET
Kilo - Liquidity map cleaned up: targets merged into their levels (Friday high = TP1, range top = TP2), no more overlapping labels, staggered text, stop and settle moved to the side rail. Sun 11:41 PM ET
Anthony - "Change the market to MES": market toggle now reads MES / MNQ (the micros actually traded here) and the page is denominated in MES throughout. Sun 10:31 PM ET
Kilo - Trading Plan rulebook added as a permanent section. Sun 10:13 PM ET
Kilo - Site goes interactive: live price, zoomable chart, took-it/skipped-it journal buttons, ES/NQ toggle. Sun 10:30 PM ET
Kilo - Automatic trade journaling: executed trades pulled after each session and scored against the rulebook. Sun 10:30 PM ET
Kilo - Separate journals for Kilo and Anthony, both interactive. Sun 10:30 PM ET

The Trading Plan

The settled rulebook. Advisory rules for self-directed trading - not signals, not recommendations to buy or sell.

MES only, 1 contract. No other symbols, no adds.
1-2 trades per day. When they're used, the day is done.
Window: premarket, or after the first 15m candle post-9:30 (from ~9:45 AM ET).
Risk cap is the setup filter: MES stop of 10 pts ($50) or less = legal trade. A wider stop means the setup gets skipped, not sized up. Cap scales with drawdown room.
Shorts only on the full setup (sweep + close back inside + structure shift + FVG fill), $25 risk.
Daily stop: two losses or -$100, whichever comes first.
No MYM or MNQ until MES produces two profitable weeks.
Journal every trade against the setup, win or lose.

HISTORY

Fri Sep 11 - first build. Bias history starts Mon Sep 14; results log against your journal begins after the first week.